KBIKazakhstan Business IntelligenceNews and analysis for doing business in Kazakhstan.ENGҚАЗРУС
Tuesday, November 10, 2026

What Matters for Business

  1. The planned 86,500 tenge security deposit for reserving a truck queue slot at the Uzbekistan border did NOT take effect November 9. Turkistan Region's State Revenue Department postponed the launch on November 2 without setting a new date. The change affects carriers using the Kazygurt, B. Konysbayev, and Atameken border crossings.
  2. Starting November 10, the new threshold for monitoring mobile transfers is 1.557 million tenge over three months AND transfers from at least 100 different senders in each of those months. The rule affects people who accept payments through personal bank accounts.
  3. Beginning November 17, the voluntary "One-click calculation" pilot will automatically calculate payroll taxes and contributions. Exemption from filing form 200.00 applies only to obligations processed through the service; employers must review and confirm the calculations.
  4. Starting November 22, Kazakhstan will begin a new six-month ban on gasoline and diesel exports, including to EAEU countries, running through May 22, 2027. The restrictions affect fuel exporters and carriers.
  5. Officials are considering merging Kazakh Invest with Baiterek, linking investor support with potential co-investment. No timetable or transition arrangements have been announced.
  6. The ARDFM and National Bank have approved development programs through 2030, envisioning private management of up to 20%–30% of pension assets, incentives for IPOs, and mandatory natural-disaster insurance for homes. These are policy frameworks; detailed rules and effective dates will require separate legal acts.
  7. Barley exports to Iran plunged 35-fold in September, while Iran opened a 4.5 million-metric-ton duty-free quota for EAEU countries. The developments matter to grain traders.
  8. Tengiz oil production fell 13% over nine months while profit doubled. To meet Kazakhstan's annual production target of 96 million metric tons, average monthly output in the fourth quarter would need to exceed the January–September average by roughly 15%.

Inside the Full Issue

Browse today’s headlines. Subscribers get the complete stories. How to Subscribe

President and state

  • Tokayev: GDP Could Approach $398 Billion This Year; 2027 to Focus on People's Construction
  • Foreign Ministry Announces Plans to Merge Kazakh Invest With Baiterek
  • Capital Market Plan Through 2030: Private Pension Managers, IPO Incentives, and Bond Guarantee Fund
  • Insurance Market Plan Through 2030 Approved, Including Mandatory Natural-Disaster Coverage for Homes
  • Tax Administration: One-Click Payroll Calculations From November 17, New Transfer Monitoring Threshold From November 10
  • Today's Regulatory Decisions
  • Financial Monitoring Agency: 191 Billion Tenge Flowed Through Payment Terminals to Foreign Online Casinos

Kazakhstan and russia

  • Transneft and KazMunayGas Discuss Oil Transit
  • Kazakhstan Extends Petroleum Product Export Ban, Including Shipments to EAEU Countries
  • Grain: Barley Exports to Iran Plunge 35-Fold as Tehran Opens Duty-Free EAEU Quota
  • Other Stories

Oil, gas, metals

  • Tengiz Output Down 13%, Profit Doubles; National Oil Target Stands at 96 Million Tons
  • $810 Million Copper Foil Project Planned by China's Londian Wason and NAIKAN
  • Industry Briefs

Financial sector

  • National Bank Holds First Hybrid Auction of Tokenized Notes on KASE
  • Kaspi.kz Revenue Rises 14% in Nine Months, Profit Flat; Company Enters Grocery Retail
  • Banking Sector Profit Falls 11.6% as Business Lending Rises 14%; Regulators Take Action

Prices and macro

  • Inflation Slows to 9.2%, but Services and Domestic Wholesale Prices Rise Faster
  • Outside Assessments

Trade and logistics

  • Oilseed Processors Sign $108 Million in Shanghai Deals; Wheat Shipped to Israel via the Caucasus
  • Borders and Transportation

Companies and regions

  • Manufacturing and Investment Projects
  • Executive Appointments and Corporate News

Innovation

  • Kazakh-Language AI: 14 Billion Tokens for OpenAI and First AI Translation at a UN Event
  • Astana Neurosurgeons Remove Cranio-Orbital Tumors in a Single Procedure
  • Telecom Fraud Prevention, Starlink for Rescue Teams, and Face ID at Children's Clubs
  • Startups and Applied AI

Signals of the Day

Reports still being verified. We examine each question in the full issue.

  • Do Kazakhstani Trucking Companies Have Enough International Transport Permits?
  • How Will Rail Freight Costs Change in December and January?
  • Why Did Cathay Pacific Cargo Stop Making Technical Stops in Astana, and Has Its Route Changed?
  • What Is Behind the $115 Billion Data Centre Valley Figure?
  • Is Kazakhstan Shipping Euro-5 Fuel to Mongolia?
  • Does the Kirov Plant in Petropavlovsk Owe More Than Its Auction Starting Price?
  • Why Are Sole Proprietor Registrations Falling as More People Shift to Self-Employment?
  • Will Online Marketplaces Be Banned From Selling Medicines?
  • Why Is the Prime Minister Asking Regional Governors to Find Additional Revenue?
  • Will Kazakhstan's Bonds Join the JPMorgan Index in 2027?
  • What Is the Confirmed Launch Date for Veon's Bank?
  • How Will the New Transfer Threshold Apply to the Fourth Quarter Already Underway, and What Will It Be in 2027?